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Archive for February, 2009

It’s all doom and gloom… time to get long?!

Wednesday, February 25th, 2009

I have been bearish of this market for a good while now and it’s proved fruitful, but today I am thinking that shorts should be covered.

Why, when the Dow has just printed it’s lowest price since 1997, would I suddenly start to think bullish thoughts?

Because I read the papers and listen to the financial news channels, and upon making this new multi-year low the world seemed to collectively shrug it’s shoulders. Ambivalence is the order of the day? Dow to 6000? Yeah, why not (you hear people say in a resigned tone).

(The FTSE is faring slightly better, holding above last years low for now, and when I trawl through the FTSE 100 stocks I see many stocks that are nowhere near making new lows compared to last years)

If you are regular readers of this Blog you’ll recall the “Sentiment Cycle” chart we posted back in October. Here it is again.

The Sentiment Cycle

This was first published in a book called “The Nature of Markets” by a New York based Technical Analyst, Justin Mamis, back in 1991.

Note that the bottom of the cycle, when markets ultimately bottoms out, is “Discouragement” - -I think that’s what it feels like now…. and I think we’re hitting bottom.

Remember, when everyone’s sold who’s gonna sell, when everyone’s short who can be short, there’s no one left to sell it, and the market cannot go down any more if there aren’t any sellers left!

Have we got the banner headlines of doom, gloom and despair on the front cover of things like Newsweek and the like? Are Taxi drivers telling you that the Stock Market is finished? Let me know!!!

Be Safe,

Cheers,

Clive.

Candlestick Charts - The new book by Clive Lambert, Director, FuturesTechs

Wednesday, February 18th, 2009

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“Candlestick Charts - An introduction to candlestick charts”, Clive Lambert’s first (maybe not last!) book has recently been released, and you can get your copy now.

Early feedback has been positive. Thank you to those who have already got their copy, and thank you to those who have offered their thoughts

To order your copy we have set up a link (Click here) via the FuturesTechs website to the Global Investor bookshop; the easiest way to get hold of the book, with a decent discount to boot! There are plenty of other titles to peruse as well, so feel free to bookmark the page once you’ve ordered!

Alternatively we are giving away signed copies of the book to new subscribers to the FuturesTechs website when you sign up for 6 or 12 months. As well as the book there are discounts offered for these extended subscription periods. Please Click here to join up and secure your signed copy!

If you are tired of listening to bottom pickers telling you that Bank and Mining Stocks are cheap, then maybe it’s time to subscribe to FuturesTechs and get some real, useful advice, without the bias attached to fundamentals. For example we’ve been very bearish of the Equity markets since Monday morning, and our readers are making money on the short side! Even prior to Monday’s technical sell signal we had been warning that the recovery trade was on a rocky footing.

We are beta testing several new additions to the website at present and will keep you posted as and when these become available.

Cheers,

Clive.

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