FuturesTechs Blog

When I first started FuturesTechs in 2000 the Bund was the main contract that our clients were watching. I still think of it as our “Flagship” report to this day (even though we probably have more readers for our commodity and Equity Reports!) , and we won the Technical Analyst Magazine Award for Fixed Income in 2010 (reaching the final shortlist again this year), so our peers think so too.

Bunds have been travelling higher steadily since bottoming out in mid April. We have managed to ride this trend most of the way, and have seen a number of positive developments in recent sessions, not least yesterday’s break of 123.84-95.

Here’s what we said this morning, on our report that is always on Traders desks by 6.30am:

Another day, another green candle, another day where worrying resistance was seen off, in this instance 123.84-95.

The resulting green candle has Marabuzo support at 123.94, close to the broken resistance, so this becomes a strong support today and a potential buying opportunity on any dips.

125.02-10 is our next target “zone”; a 50% retrace level and resistance from early January.

As well as a short comment (we don’t believe that Analysis has to go on and on if it can be summarised in a few lines!) we also post a number of support and resistance levels in an easy to read format, with important levels highlighted in bold type. Alongside this we have our unique “SkewBar”, giving an indication of short term trend and the prices at which this is changing.

If you are trading or Broking Bund Futures this could be an invaluable tool. Click here to request a Free Trial.

This morning’s support and resistance levels in the Eurostoxx 50 Futures included 2957 as an important reference above and 2925 as our first support below. It is Midday now (in the UK) and the range has been 2926-2958. This is the kind of reliability our customers depend on us for.

for a Free trial of our daily Technical Analysis reports covering a wide range of active Futures markets, plus a number of Forex Crosses, please click a link below to request a Free Trial:

Trial for Professional Traders/Brokers and Fund Managers, click here.

Trial for Individual Traders/Spread Bet/CFDs traders, click here.

Today’s Comment and Chart for the Eurostoxx 50 Futures:

Stoxx opened towards Mondays low at 2940, tested higher at 2952 and then drifted to 2925 into midday. A rally into the cash close up to 2950 wasn’t sustained after hours, and the close at 2936 confirmed the previous days Bearish Engulfing candle.

Although there was an uptick in volume the confirming candle didn’t breach any support levels so we’re bearish, but somewhat  tentatively.

Marabuzo resistance remains at 2957. The 76.4% retracement of the February - March bear move remains at 2983.  Horizontal and Marabuzo support stands at 2918 and 2912 respectively.

The market looked damp right from the start yesterday, in fact even before the FTSE had opened the DAX and Stoxx had failed to hold gaps that they’d created with strong opens, so you could argue that the bulls had lost control of the impetus even before the FTSE opened.

But it never felt like it was going to be a big nasty down day, and sure enough we only sold off to 5545. We had bold support at 5548 as this is the Marabuzo line of the large green candle that we posted on Friday. So this has held, but may come under pressure again today.

We turn bearish below 5435; last week’s low.

We think the market is edgy and nervous for now. There is lots of volatility but little firm direction, which is the sort of thing one often sees at turning points.

Below are today’s support and resistance levels worthy of note.

Clive has recently started a weekly slot on CNBC, where he’ll be explaining concepts in technical analysis and reviewing the current state of play in the markets. Tune in on Thursdays from around 6:30am, or check our archives.

Here is today’s appearance, discussing Marabuzo lines in the context of what’s been happening recently with the FTSE, S&P 500, Bund and Brent.