{"id":1435,"date":"2026-09-18T10:10:52","date_gmt":"2026-09-18T10:10:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/?p=1435"},"modified":"2026-09-18T10:26:37","modified_gmt":"2026-09-18T10:26:37","slug":"price-action-eua-carbon-breakout-an-instant-reaction-and-a-level-that-gave-the-bulls-hope","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/2026\/09\/18\/price-action-eua-carbon-breakout-an-instant-reaction-and-a-level-that-gave-the-bulls-hope\/","title":{"rendered":"PRICE ACTION: EUA Carbon &#8211; Breakout, an instant reaction, and a level that gave the Bulls hope!"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This week&#8217;s spotlight is EUA Carbon &#8211; a market that spent the previous week grinding higher in a run of green candles, finally broke out, gave it straight back the next day, and then proved exactly why we don&#8217;t panic on the first red candle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The set-up<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We posted a full week of green candles last week, repeatedly testing the high from late July without quite breaking above it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Monday<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The break finally came, and it came with conviction &#8211; a huge green candle took EUA through the July highs (to a high of 88.53), opening the door to retest the YTD highs from late January.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tuesday<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The other side of that coin, immediately. A red candle gave back Monday&#8217;s gains and then some, smashing straight through the Marabuzo support that Monday&#8217;s breakout had left behind. Weakness down to 85.30, and the obvious question on everyone&#8217;s mind: was that the top?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Wednesday<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Another red candle, but some hope for the Bulls. 84.50 was a Single Print Vacuum (SPV) level left from 7th September which came under real pressure. It was tested multiple times on the intraday chart. Not one 30-minute candle closed below it. Provided a floor from which buyers could step back in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Here&#8217;s what we said in our report on Wednesday:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"has-background wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"background-color:#5cb5c754\">&#8220;Is that a top? It looks like the sort of thing you\u2019d see at a top but we\u2019d want a bit more confirmation, like, say, a break below 84.00-09.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The low was 84.07. Then a reaction from there.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Thursday<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Confirmation! A strong rally to 86.18, putting fresh Marabuzo support on the chart at 85.23. Strongly suggesting the bulls are back and we can revisit the highs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Friday<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Today we are testing the vacuum and Marabuzo resistance (86.69) left behind by Tuesday&#8217;s bear day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"666\" src=\"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-1024x666.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1436\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-1024x666.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-300x195.png 300w, https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-768x499.png 768w, https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-1536x998.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Here&#8217;s the part we think matters most: after Tuesday&#8217;s sharp reversal, it would have been easy to flip to bearish on the reaction alone. We didn&#8217;t. We&#8217;d said in the reports that unless EUA closed below the 84 handle, we were keeping our &#8216;buy-dips&#8217; hat on &#8211; and we stuck with it, through the red candle, through tests of 84.50.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We wanted <strong>confirmation<\/strong> before turning bear. It didn&#8217;t come.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Keeping our clients on the right side of the trend is one of our key mantras.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What we&#8217;re watching now:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Can we push through and test the highs again, or are we settling into a range? Either way, the 84 handle remains the line that would change our thinking &#8211; not one or two red candles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Where are you sitting on EUA heading into next week &#8211; looking at a re-test of the highs? That would be our call.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Start a free trial today: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/free-trial-form\">https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/free-trial-form<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n<div class=\"is-default-size aligncenter wp-block-site-logo\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/\" class=\"custom-logo-link\" rel=\"home\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"350\" height=\"222\" src=\"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/MASTER-2-COLOUR_SM.png\" class=\"custom-logo\" alt=\"FuturesTechs Blog\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/MASTER-2-COLOUR_SM.png 350w, https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/MASTER-2-COLOUR_SM-300x190.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 350px) 100vw, 350px\" 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c-0.22-0.199-0.024-0.471,0.241-0.317c3.027,1.762,6.771,2.823,10.639,2.823c2.608,0,5.476-0.541,8.115-1.66 C20.739,18.62,21.072,19.051,20.683,19.339z M21.336,21.043c-0.194,0.163-0.379,0.076-0.293-0.139 c0.284-0.71,0.92-2.298,0.619-2.684c-0.301-0.386-1.99-0.183-2.749-0.092c-0.23,0.027-0.266-0.173-0.059-0.319 c1.348-0.946,3.555-0.673,3.811-0.356C22.925,17.773,22.599,19.986,21.336,21.043z\"><\/path><\/svg><span class=\"wp-block-social-link-label screen-reader-text\">Amazon<\/span><\/a><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-group\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-group has-medium-font-size\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Clive Lambert FSTA \u2013 FuturesTechs<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:19px\">25 years of institutional expertise in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/oil-gas-energy\">UK and European Energy Markets<\/a> and 10-time Technical Analysis award winner. Clive provides industry-standard technical outlook, utilising\u00a0<strong>Market Profile<\/strong>\u00a0and\u00a0<strong>Candlesticks<\/strong>\u00a0<strong>Analysis<\/strong>\u00a0for over 100 global trading desks.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em>Disclaimer<\/em><\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">This communication has been prepared solely for information and data purposes and is not intended as an Invitation or Inducement with respect to the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. This communication should not be regarded as a substitute for the exercise by the recipient of its own judgement. Any reliance placed on the communication is at the reader\u2019s risk. Information and opinions have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but no representation is made to their accuracy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\nThis week&#8217;s spotlight is EUA Carbon &#8211; a market that spent the previous week grinding higher in a run of green candles, finally broke out, gave it straight back the next day, and then proved exactly why we don&#8217;t panic on the first red candle.<\/p>\n<p>The set-up<\/p>\n<p>We posted a full week of &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"btn-primary entries-readmore\" href=\"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/2026\/09\/18\/price-action-eua-carbon-breakout-an-instant-reaction-and-a-level-that-gave-the-bulls-hope\/\" title=\"Read more\">Read more<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[770,801,795,6,7],"tags":[17,31,54,75,76,79,711,88,716,715,708,769,594,98,103,104,112,127,737,700,701,709,206,228,236,240,747,292,300,316,323,870,374,384,428,738,476,674,495,502,549],"class_list":["post-1435","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energy-trading","category-eua-carbon-emissions","category-european-gas-carbon-power","category-technical-analysis","category-trading","tag-analysis","tag-bearish","tag-bullish","tag-candles","tag-candlestick-analysis","tag-candlestick-charts","tag-carbon-emission-futures-technical-analysis","tag-carbon-emissions","tag-carbon-emissions-chart-technical-analysis","tag-carbon-emissions-charts","tag-carbon-emissions-technical-analysis","tag-carbon-forward","tag-chart","tag-chart-analysis","tag-chart-patterns","tag-chart-technical-analysis","tag-clive-lambert","tag-daily-candlestick-charts","tag-eua","tag-eua-carbon-emissions","tag-eua-carbon-emissions-technical-analysis","tag-eua-carbon-technical-analysis","tag-free-trial","tag-futures","tag-futurestechs","tag-futuretechs","tag-german-baseload-power-eua-carbon-emissions","tag-january","tag-levels","tag-marabuzo","tag-market-profile","tag-price-action","tag-price-targets","tag-resistance","tag-single-print-vacuum","tag-spv","tag-support","tag-technical-analysis","tag-technical-analysis-reports","tag-technical-trading","tag-trend"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1435","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1435"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1435\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1439,"href":"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1435\/revisions\/1439"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1435"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1435"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.futurestechs.co.uk\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1435"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}