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Posts Tagged ‘capitulation’

Dow Down 777: Unprecedented markets.

Tuesday, September 30th, 2008

Apologies for not posting any Blogs of late. The current market conditions have made for a busy time at FuturesTechs towers!

I’ve said a few things on today’s reports that don’t usually appear in our comments. Things like this from the Bund report:

“I was around in 1987, and 1992, and September 11th 2001. These were all similarly seismic events, and the markets are still here today, so remember that while the markets (as well as the hyperbole and vitriol) are flying around in the coming days”.
I’ve also said the following in the DAX and FTSE reports respectively:
“We are obviously in capitulation phase now, but rather perversely this may be a good thing for the markets, as we need to get this out of the way. We are in the eye of the storm, but the storm will pass”.
“…it is often when things seem at their most cataclysmic that bottoms are made…”
This is not a bottom picking exercise, as we will wait for a rally through important resistance levels before calling a bottom. But I am saying that it’s exactly this sort of price action you can see at a low, and sometimes market needs to do this by itself.
I will try and post a few more blogs over the coming days as we all attempt to navigate our way through the mess.
In the meantime be careful, and remember that these are times when the only sensible thing to do is reduce your size and make sure you don;t give all your hard earned money away.
Cheers,
Clive.

More super heroes needed! George?

Tuesday, July 15th, 2008

The heroics from Ben and Hank that I spoke about in yesterday morning’s Blog were squarely ignored by the markets. Despite the rescue of Fannie and Freddie we sold off harder than any day we’ve seen of late, just from a higher base.

We’re going to start the US session from a low base today, so will we recover? I wouldn’t bet on it, but George Bush and Ben Bernanke will do their best to say the right things again.

The FTSE 100 Future has been down to 5150 today, the lowest price printed since October 2005.

It doesn’t look like the selling is over, but we are starting to get that “capitulation” feel about things, aren’t we?

Right now it’s worth remembering two really naff phrases that often get rolled out, and in my opinion should be rolled out more often:

Naff catch phrase number 1: “The Trend is your Friend”

Naff catchphrase number 2: “Bottom pickers get dirt…” I don’t think I need finish that one.

Lastly, another one that I think is quite relevant right now:

“Denial is not just a river in Egypt”.

Have a good day and be careful.

Cheers,

Clive.

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