FuturesTechs Blog

When I first started FuturesTechs in 2000 the Bund was the main contract that our clients were watching. I still think of it as our “Flagship” report to this day (even though we probably have more readers for our commodity and Equity Reports!) , and we won the Technical Analyst Magazine Award for Fixed Income in 2010 (reaching the final shortlist again this year), so our peers think so too.

Bunds have been travelling higher steadily since bottoming out in mid April. We have managed to ride this trend most of the way, and have seen a number of positive developments in recent sessions, not least yesterday’s break of 123.84-95.

Here’s what we said this morning, on our report that is always on Traders desks by 6.30am:

Another day, another green candle, another day where worrying resistance was seen off, in this instance 123.84-95.

The resulting green candle has Marabuzo support at 123.94, close to the broken resistance, so this becomes a strong support today and a potential buying opportunity on any dips.

125.02-10 is our next target “zone”; a 50% retrace level and resistance from early January.

As well as a short comment (we don’t believe that Analysis has to go on and on if it can be summarised in a few lines!) we also post a number of support and resistance levels in an easy to read format, with important levels highlighted in bold type. Alongside this we have our unique “SkewBar”, giving an indication of short term trend and the prices at which this is changing.

If you are trading or Broking Bund Futures this could be an invaluable tool. Click here to request a Free Trial.

This morning’s support and resistance levels in the Eurostoxx 50 Futures included 2957 as an important reference above and 2925 as our first support below. It is Midday now (in the UK) and the range has been 2926-2958. This is the kind of reliability our customers depend on us for.

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Today’s Comment and Chart for the Eurostoxx 50 Futures:

Stoxx opened towards Mondays low at 2940, tested higher at 2952 and then drifted to 2925 into midday. A rally into the cash close up to 2950 wasn’t sustained after hours, and the close at 2936 confirmed the previous days Bearish Engulfing candle.

Although there was an uptick in volume the confirming candle didn’t breach any support levels so we’re bearish, but somewhat  tentatively.

Marabuzo resistance remains at 2957. The 76.4% retracement of the February - March bear move remains at 2983.  Horizontal and Marabuzo support stands at 2918 and 2912 respectively.

One of the things we at FuturesTechs towers take very seriously is Marabuzo lines.

What are they? A large bodied candlestick on a Daily chart is the result of a big one way push over the course of a day. In the example of large red real bodies the market often wakes up the next day sure in the knowledge that yesterday’s bout of selling should be good enough to guarantee further losses today. But sometimes things feel a bit overdone and there can be a reaction higher the next day. The big question then is whether this is a short term gains that deserves to be sold into, or if the market is going to continue to rally and take back the losses of the previous day?

The Marabuzo line is the halfway point of the real body (ie halfway between the open and close) of any large bodied candlestick, and we’ve found them to be excellent reference levels in the days after this “big event” Candles.

This week’s ICE Brent Crude Oil Chart is no exception. Last Thursday we saw a big down day.

The Marabuzo line of this session’s Candlestick was 133.78.

The high last Friday was 133.69

The high on Monday was 133.57

The high on Tuesday was 133.75.

Close enough?!

Tuesday turned out to be a pretty Bearish day, as was Wednesday. The Marabuzo line of Wednesday’s big red candle was 127.36, and Thursday’s high/failure was 127.25. Close enough?!

Which prompted our Brent Comment today, as per below. You can click on the image to see it in full size.

All very interesting, I’m sure you’ll agree.

Have a good weekend, and be sure to subscribe to our members area so you don’t miss out on these sort of calls. Click here.

Come on Essex in the Twenty20 tomorrow! And a Happy Birthday to my old mate Mickey. How old?! OUCH!!!